Bitcoin analyst eyes ‘V-shape’ BTC price bounce as RSI hits 5-year low

Bitcoin (BTC) stayed stubbornly anti-trend on Aug. 22 as $26,000 became a magnet for intraday BTC price action.

<em>BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView</em>

BTC price “death chop” returns

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView tracked a third day of sideways performance for BTC/USD.

Despite being heavily oversold, according to relative strength index (RSI) readings, Bitcoin refused to offer any form of recovery bounce from levels last seen two months prior.

Market participants were restless, with popular trader Jelle referring to intraday movements as the “death chop.”

“At this stage it feels like a game of chicken to see who is going to make a move to break the chop,” monitoring resource Material Indicators said.

Analyzing liquidity on the Binance BTC/USD order book, Material Indicators noted a broad lack of liquidity, increasing the potential for a sharp move in either direction.

“The market is waiting to see if more bid or more ask liquidity is going to be attracted to the range,” it explained on X (formerly known as Twitter).

“So far, we are seeing small amounts of bid liquidity ladder up from $20k closer to the active trading zone, but no liquidity of any size (new or moved) has been stacked into the range defending price from a Lower Low.”

The implications were nonetheless potentially very serious for bulls, with a lower low (LL) apt to risk even the $20,000 support going forward.

“Needless to say, printing a LL in this TF has macro implications. Printing 2 LLs would push #BTC down to sub $20k levels,” Material Indicators concluded.

<em>BTC/USD order book data for Binance annotated chart. Source: Material Indicators/X</em>

RSI strengthens “V-shape recovery” thesis

Zooming out, hope remained that Bitcoin could rescue its overall uptrend.

Related: Bitcoin is in ‘new bull cycle’ — Metric that bottomed before 70% gains

In a dedicated YouTube update on Aug. 22, Michaël van de Poppe, founder and CEO of trading firm Eight, noted the heavily oversold signals being generated by RSI.

On 12-hour timeframes, the RSI measured less than 19 at the time of writing — near its lowest levels since the 2018 bear market bottom. Daily levels were similar, reaching their lowest since the March 2020 COVID-19 cross-market crash.

“Every time we see such a move, you get a sort of V-shape recovery back up, and it finds equilibrium on a higher floor,” Van de Poppe said about previous BTC price flash crashes.

He added that it was “very likely” that Bitcoin could stage a comeback to focus on $26,500 or more next.

<em>BTC/USD 12-hour chart with RSI. Source: TradingView</em>

“Current #Bitcoin price action reminds me of September 2020 — just before the start of the previous bull market,” Jelle meanwhile suggested alongside a comparative chart.

“Absorption and slowly grind higher here for a while — and I could see this play out similarly.”

<em>BTC/USD comparative chart. Source: Jelle/X</em>

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.